Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 2.891758 3.041300 3.198590 3.377090 3.574954 3.788635 4.038311
2025-07-13 2.745202 2.961584 3.200537 3.486816 3.824411 4.215098 4.709587
2025-07-20 2.596777 2.857049 3.155726 3.529896 3.995416 4.569389 5.355170
2025-07-27 2.530565 2.836355 3.200476 3.677471 4.305175 5.135435 6.383608
2025-08-03 2.446753 2.784256 3.198654 3.762773 4.543547 5.647671 7.475684
2025-08-10 2.324758 2.673613 3.111365 3.724215 4.605449 5.919664 8.282874
2025-08-17 2.177229 2.519958 2.955737 3.576499 4.491011 5.903401 8.593691
2025-08-24 2.069940 2.411093 2.850668 3.488029 4.451019 5.995174 9.133889
2025-08-31 1.998911 2.344807 2.797131 3.466248 4.507183 6.252921 10.106337
2025-09-07 1.916000 2.258188 2.710152 3.387971 4.464185 6.328412 10.711134
2025-09-14 1.838902 2.175624 2.623994 3.304053 4.402370 6.358228 11.224024
2025-09-21 1.769263 2.100100 2.543721 3.223191 4.337107 6.370582 11.705253
2025-09-28 1.702786 2.031314 2.476578 3.168974 4.331120 6.539323 12.882973
2025-10-05 1.684979 2.028428 2.503139 3.262514 4.596008 7.342681 17.039825
2025-10-12 1.651140 2.001616 2.493466 3.298082 4.764247 8.003465 22.147365
2025-10-19 1.643640 2.011218 2.537775 3.426227 5.133132 9.332818 37.316448
2025-10-26 1.622260 1.999651 2.549140 3.499828 5.409632 10.595086 72.827793
2025-11-02 1.577208 1.951578 2.501356 3.465383 5.450052 11.158533 131.412094
2025-11-09 1.513593 1.874009 2.404023 3.335405 5.260553 10.851588 144.715564
2025-11-16 1.465439 1.817639 2.337657 3.257300 5.180802 10.931542 238.028362
2025-11-23 1.433276 1.783686 2.304966 3.237943 5.233928 11.553758 NaN
2025-11-30 1.392351 1.735362 2.247371 3.168763 5.160610 11.642390 NaN
2025-12-07 1.352538 1.687550 2.188836 3.094465 5.067034 11.616865 NaN